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Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. The putter is still not cooperating like hed hoped, but if he can get even average results on the greens in Tulsa, he should be in contention on Sunday. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best Bets for Southern Hills Who looks ready to raise the Wanamaker? Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Just sometimes certain shots I might feel it a little bit, but again, its rare that it causes me any problems.. So, if he can blast some quality drives and make putts, he could be a surprise contender. The value is just too good to pass up. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Day has flashed signs of his younger self throughout this season. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. The best players in the world, aside from Bryson DeChambeau who. 21+ only. Subsequently, we wouldnt be doing our due diligence if we didnt take a hard look at PGA Championship dark horse picks and sleepers that have the game to win this week. That makes his +275 odds to log a top-10 finish look pretty appetizing. Our panel of gambling experts,. At these odds, I had to throw some money down on him. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday in Tulsa, so let's put together a winning DFS strategy. As for Thomas, he has had six top-10 finishes in competitions since January. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. At low ownership and price, Lee could be a great GPP option. He has had hot putting streaks before too, so perhaps he can find his stroke at the right time in Tulsa. Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). Woods is set to participate in the event this year; he missed it in 2021 while recovering from injuries sustained in a Feb. 23 car crash earlier that year. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. We hate touts. You can show your support for Rob by using the discount code GILTwhen purchasing aPGA Premium Pass. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. Noren is not the Oklahoma State player that everyone would expect to win this week, but his game fits this course well and he excels in the wind. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. Yeah, that came at Augusta National. For whatever reason, hes embraced Perry Maxwell designs during his career. We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. Touts are lame. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. You can too! Wagering on golf always seems to come down to the wire, which is why Ive become hooked. He is also in the top half of the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and ball-striking. PGA Splits 101(great Twitter follow) used true "Strokes Gained" data from Data Golf, adjusted for field strength, and saw that Morikawa is the best ball-striker at the PGA Championship over the past 20 rounds. Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career and earned his first major win at the Masters in April. The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40). He goes as his putter goes, but his irons and approach game will keep him in contention here. He has finished top 10 in each of his last PGA Championship appearances. Since the 2022 FedEx Cup season opened in October, Scott has two top tens on the PGA Tour, two top 10s on the DP World Tour in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and only missed one cut in 13 starts (at the wind-plagued PLAYERS Championship). In 2018, he finished secondat both the Open Championship and at the U.S. Open. The 25-year-old has never played in the PGA Championship nor has he made a cut at a major, but he has the tools needed to make noise this week. The Florida swing on the PGA Tour rolls on this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, and golf fans will be relieved to see a loaded field after last week's Honda Classic featured just three of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Major championships can be difficult weeks for DFS players. But Champ has such a high ceiling, theres big potential upside here. There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. Among all the betting favorites, there are several names further down the odds list you should keep an eye on this week in Oklahoma. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. Pictured: Max Homa. This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. The result marks Kirk's . Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? 17. Hes just, well, not there. PGA Tour Rising Stars: 6 Pro Golfers to Watch in 2023. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Collin Morikawa, Jason Day and Justin Thomas were either rising or established stars by the times of their. In his 10 starts since the Ryder Cup, Cantlay has a win and six top-10s. He's always been in contention at the PGA Championship events and plays well at Dye courses, so I couldn't lay off of him. Bezuidenhout is another player who excels in windy conditions. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. Why not now? CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Part III of @GOLF_com's golf gambling series! He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. And this is no knock against him. He ranks top 30 in this field in approach, putting, bogey avoidance, three-putt avoidance, and sand saves. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. Speaking of high numbers! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). So, good putters should fare well on this course. Rahm has finished top-10 in five of the past six majors, including a win at last years U.S. Open. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. 21+: and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Shop around because I was still seeing some +2000's out there. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill. The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. He's also shown that he can play with the big boys and has three other top-25 finishes in 2021, including finishing 18th at The Masters. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. While he may be on the wrong side off the tee time waves, I believe he could play well this weekend. There are two players that stick out as solid winner bets for this weekend's major: Justin Thomas (+1200) and Viktor Hovland (+2500). Who will win the PGA Championship in 2022? For +12,500, I will bet that we see flashes of 2020 Wolff at Southern Hills. This number is too high for a guy who hits it this well and is this good around the greens. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. And when hes not writing about ways to hit the golf ball farther and straighter, the Milwaukee native is probably playing the game, hitting the ball left, right and short, and drinking a cold beer to wash away his score. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. But the truth of the matter is that favorites dont always win golf tournaments. Can he repeat his success at the tour's next major, the 2022 PGA Championship? Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) . "They're just covering their ass and saying everything that the PGA Tour basically has trained them to say", "Playing the cutline is one of the toughest things in golf. The PGA Championship has become a melting pot for difficult but fair conditions as of late, and the phrase "there's no faking it" has become synonymous with the championship's setup. Hovland, like Thomas, has one weaker portion of his game, and that is his one-putt percentage. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. Jon Rahm (+1100) is currently the favoriteto win the PGA Championship, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. His putter, considered a liability in the wake of the anchoring ban, is now a weapon. Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. No more. 1 golfer ranks first in "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 50 rounds on Dye courses. Question: How did you spend that, like how did you occupy the time? All Rights Reserved. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. Which one is the best for you? Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. The PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. At The Players Championship, the understood tee time advantage did not play out and fantasy players who stacked the opposite wave made a lot of money. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. PGA Championship dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at Southern HIlls Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM. SeeTipico.comfor Terms and Conditions. Obviously, well need a hot week with the putter. If he keeps the ball in play off the tee, the Englishman could make a run come Sunday. Sleeper pick: Matthew Wolff +12,500. Also, the smartest picker I know has been crowing about Young for months. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters. He earned his first green jacket via a Masters win that was virtually wire-to-wire. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. It plays at 7,556 yards after its re-design in 2018and plays to a par of 70. Strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also be important for this major, as will one-putt percentage. This means it will be the longest course in major championship history, as it was in 2012. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. your golf bets? Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. . The same can be said of Young. K.H. And though he has yet to make a cut in his three major starts, hes poised to do so soon. And names like Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and many others always look attractive. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. Only competitors with 100-1 or better odds are listed. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports. With 97 of the world's top 100 players at the PGA Championship, there's value to be had on the odds board. You might also remember that he was in contention in the U.S. Open last year at Torrey Pines. A T-3 at the Farmers, leading the Wells Fargo after 36 holes, and two solid opening rounds last week before a Saturday 73 plummeted him down the leaderboard. He won last years Scottish Open, beating the likes of Justin Thomas and John Rahm. As such, it will be important to trust some of the bigger hitters in the field, especially considering that the two Par-5 holes are both 630 yards or longer. Smith, Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 8, 2022. Tommy Fleetwood plays from the 13th tee during the first round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. His only top-15 this season that I just mentioned a moment ago? Is it a stretch? Sleeper pick: Y.E. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. Its the chalkiest pick on the board, but Im taking it anyway. FOLLOW US ON Champ offers tremendous value if the public is on to something, so lets zoom in. This week, the PGA event is The PGA Championship. Golf's second major is upon us as the best players in the world head to Tulsa, Oklahoma for the 2022 PGA . The combination of course familiarity and recent play would make Scott a potent threat if his putter gets extra hot this week. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. His recent success has him leading the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 30 days. Weather is very difficult to predict. Mickelson won't be participating in the event in 2022, so there will be a new champion by the end of the weekend. He has five titles to his name, one more than Tiger Woods' four. Sleeper PGA DFS Picks Justin Suh $6,900. Its so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and theyre compartmentalized, Myers told Golf Digest. So what gives? Lee went on to record multiple top-five place finishes on The DP World Tour last year. Thats enough for me! He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. Speaking of 2012, that's the last time we were back here when Rory McIlroy destroyed the competition. ), PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. A player with his ability and consistency should not be priced this high. Bradley arrives at Southern Hills with four top-10 finishes in his last six starts, including a solo fifth in the strongest field of the year at the Players Championship. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. Sign up for an account to take action today.) Sure, this season has been all about Scottie Scheffler, but these odds are too good to pass up for a player experiencing a similar meteoric rise this season. Hottest golfer on the planet. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. One of those two was the champion at this venue back in 2007 a golfer by the name Tiger Woods. But theres something about Southern Hills that I think will suit the Aussie to snap that streak. Lastly, the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor also loves him at these odds and has him listed as the No. Casual golf fans may not know his name, but they will soon as he continues to contend on a weekly basis. Who will disappoint? $1,200 in Bonus Bets. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). In a Lone Star showdown, Spieth takes home the Wanamaker to complete the grand slam. The other is Adam Scott, who finished T12 here in 2007 and continues to play great golf. Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. There isnt a hotter golfer on the planet, except world No. But again, it was a good time off, but definitely enjoyed being out here more.. The Twitter handle is a joke. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. So how is the worlds 79th ranked player 250/1 this week? MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. No, hes not hurt. Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. If Southern Hills is going to be a tee to green fest, Henley has to be considered. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. Note: prices listed below available at a major U.S. sportsbooks as of writing Monday evening. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill By CBS Sports Staff 15 mins ago 3 min read USATSI The. Lets dig in and find some winners! Eventually, hell be due to bring the A-game that has fueled his four wins on TOUR to a major. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. However, I can believe that around the greens at Southern Hills could be similar to Augusta National. That makes him an intriguing long shot. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. This. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. Still, Hovland is plenty good enough in that category he ranks 28th to have a quality outing in this major. This number jumps off the board a bit, since it doesnt mesh with Goochs resume entering the PGA Championship. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 ( DraftKings) Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Like what you read today? Yang is in the field. He ranks just 87th in one-putting, but he should be a steady performer this week. Henley ranks fifth in the field in approach and 20th around the green. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. These are decent odds for the best player in the world without a major, a mantle he wont have for long. His PGA TOUR Horse for the Course for daily fantasy golf based on course history. 2022 PGA Championship viewers guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch, Love transfusion cocktails? Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks. While the golf world stirred itself into a frenzy, the tournaments being played since the Masters havent been very inspiring for golf fans. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. He created the website at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). He won the 2007 PGA at Southern Hills. The PGA Championship produced a first-time major winner five times since 2013. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. No, he is not a tout. This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. When it comes to the weather, it's supposed to be gusty this week, so that will be something to keep an eye on. Were about to have a little bit more. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. Davante Adams turned down a bigger deal from the Packers to force his way to Raiders, Mohammed Usman sets the record straight on Mitchell Sipe trash-talk, outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Probably the first four, five events, I played with some pretty decent pain, he said at the Mexico Open. For all intents and purposes, Smiths the second-hottest player in the world, and hes getting the seventh-best odds in the field. I know it's going to be tough for Morikawa to win this event in back-to-back years, but I can't resist. Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. Smith has two PGA Tour wins in 2022, including the Players, and is considered by many to have the hottest putter on the planet. 2. But every so often you see a Cameron Champ, a name that makes you almost wonder: What does everyone else know that I dont? Why is this? Im not going to overthink this. Some of the game's biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins. He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. The career grand slam has never culminated at the PGA Championship, and I think if anyone can make history at Southern Hills, itll be Spieth assuming he putts well. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. The PGA Championship offers an extremely difficult task at the Ocean Course on Kiawah Island but these sleepers and dark horses could pop and win a major. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. When it comes to my betting picks this week, you won't find anything too groundbreaking here. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. Leish has fallen off a bit since his early-season form, and hes missed the past three PGA cuts. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Furthermore, hes been a consistent gainer with his around-the-green play, even if hes not elite in that area. The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. About the only thing that fans know for certain is that we won't have a repeat champion, as Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event amid an ongoing feud with the PGA Tour. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. The form is there, and by all accounts, the course fit is there. Lee must be thinking about packing up his family and moving to Dallas full time. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73.

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